Scenario Planning: Lessons Learned from a Geopolitical and Diplomatic Simulation Exercise

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Presented By:

Aaron Marks, MPA, NRP, MEP

Aaron is an internationally recognized expert on risk, crisis, and consequence management. He has supported exercise programs and events across 48 U.S. states and territories and 10 countries and nations. Aaron combines his 30-years of operational experience in incident and crisis management with a fascination with cognition and psychology to deliver non-traditional exercises that achieve their design objectives while providing impactful and memorable participant experiences.

As a Senior Principal for Dynamis, Inc., a NATO Civil Subject Expert, and the Founder of One Thirty Nine Consulting, Aaron frequently works with clients and partners to develop novel solutions to emerging and evolving problems. His recent work includes addressing challenges associated with Insider Threats, Targeted Violence, Communicable Disease and Bioterrorism, and CBRN Consequence Management.


Geopolitics is the intersection of geography, history, culture, and politics. Diplomacy is the art of managing relationships within the context of geopolitics. While most organizations do not have requirements to include either of these considerations in their simulation exercises, working with national governments or transnational non-governmental or private sector entities may include engaging objectives that involve geopolitical or diplomatic elements. This session provides insight into some of the lessons-to-be-learned from both discussions and operations-based exercises that included diplomatic and geopolitical considerations in their scenarios. Some went well, some were challenging, and at least one resulted in an international incident. 




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